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The first major trophy of the 2024-25 season will be decided at Wembley on Sunday, as Liverpool face Newcastle in the League Cup final.

Nolan James    Mar 16

Liverpool vs. Newcastle: A Showdown for the League Cup

Liverpool’s Struggles After Champions League Heartbreak

Liverpool enter this League Cup final reeling from a painful defeat in the Champions League. The Reds faced PSG in a thrilling second-leg encounter that went into extra time and eventually ended in a penalty shootout loss. While their performance was commendable, the sting of the result will be sharp, especially given the hope they had of securing a 7th Champions League title, considering their dominant form in the Premier League this season.

Physically and mentally drained from a 120-minute battle at an intense pace, Liverpool will be up against it in this final. Not only did they suffer a heartbreaking defeat, but they also lost key players to injury, which adds to their already significant challenges. It’s tough to imagine them being at their peak, but despite these setbacks, Liverpool have been the top team in England this season and are expected to rise above their struggles to win their 11th League Cup, and their second consecutive title.

Newcastle’s Woes Heading into the Final

Newcastle come into this final with their own set of issues. The Magpies have already lost star left-back Lewis Hall for the season due to a foot injury. In addition, Anthony Gordon is unavailable due to suspension after receiving a needless red card in the FA Cup.

Having reached the League Cup final two seasons ago, only to lose to Manchester United, Newcastle are desperate to win their first trophy under the new ownership. They will be disappointed to face another final without key players, particularly after goalkeeper Nick Pope missed the previous final.

Manager Eddie Howe is also in search of his first major trophy as a manager. While Howe has had a solid career, the lack of silverware is a significant hurdle, especially with some speculating that the Saudi-led ownership might have bigger plans for the manager's role. A victory in this final would be hugely satisfying for Howe, giving him his first major title and marking Newcastle’s first trophy since 1955.

Despite the odds being stacked against them, Newcastle should not be written off entirely, especially with Liverpool dealing with their own challenges.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head

Liverpool's Strong Run Despite Setbacks

Liverpool’s overall form remains strong, with four wins and one loss in their last five matches:

  • Lost 0-1 vs. PSG (Champions League)
  • Won 3-1 vs. Southampton (Mohamed Salah x2, Darwin Nunez)
  • Won 1-0 vs. PSG (Harvey Elliott goal)
  • Won 2-0 vs. Newcastle (Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister)
  • Won 2-0 vs. Manchester City (Mohamed Salah, Dominik Szoboszlai)

Despite the recent Champions League heartbreak, Liverpool has shown resilience and a knack for winning crucial games.

Newcastle’s Mixed Form Heading into the Final

Newcastle have had a mixed run of results recently, with two wins and three losses in their last five games:

  • Won 1-0 vs. West Ham (Bruno Guimaraes goal)
  • Lost 1-2 vs. Brighton (FA Cup)
  • Lost 0-2 vs. Liverpool
  • Won 4-3 vs. Nottingham Forest (Lewis Miley, Josh Murphy, Alexander Isak x2)
  • Lost 0-4 vs. Manchester City

Despite a difficult stretch, Newcastle will take some confidence from their narrow win over West Ham and the attacking potential they’ve shown in high-scoring victories. However, missing key players and their poor head-to-head record against Liverpool will weigh heavily on their chances.

Prediction: A Tight Final in Store

Liverpool’s recent Champions League defeat, coupled with their fatigue and injuries, make this a tricky encounter for them. On the other hand, Newcastle are also missing key players and have struggled to overcome Liverpool in recent years. They have not won any of their last 17 meetings with the Reds.

Given the circumstances, Liverpool are still expected to come out on top in what should be a tightly contested match. Despite the odds, Newcastle’s challenge will be tough, but Liverpool’s quality should see them through to another League Cup victory.

Liverpool 2-1 Newcastle

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Muresia    Mar 16    0
liverpool to win 3-1
Mugisha    Mar 16    0
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