Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United face off for the third time this season, as the Magpies continue their push toward a possible UEFA Champions League qualification spot.
Nolan James May 4
Brighton vs Newcastle – Match Preview & Betting Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United square off for the third time this season, with the Magpies eyeing a crucial three points in their pursuit of UEFA Champions League qualification. Brighton have already done the double over Newcastle this season—winning 1-0 in the league and 2-1 in the FA Cup—but current form suggests this will be a far tougher test for the Seagulls.
After six games without a win, Brighton finally stopped the rot with a dramatic 3-2 comeback victory over West Ham. Goals from Mitoma and a thunderbolt from Carlos Baleba sealed the turnaround and kept their faint European hopes alive. To clinch a potential eighth-place European berth, the Seagulls not only need a strong finish but also require Chelsea to win the UEFA Europa Conference League and Crystal Palace to lose the FA Cup final—a tall order.
Despite a dip in form, Brighton have been relatively solid at home, winning four of their last six Premier League matches at the Amex, including victories over Chelsea (3-0), Fulham (2-1), and Bournemouth (2-1). However, they've kept zero clean sheets in their last five, conceding at least two goals in three of those games.
Eddie Howe's side are flying high again. Since their Carabao Cup triumph—the club’s first major domestic trophy since 1955—the Magpies have found another gear. They’ve won five of their last six league matches, including dominant displays against Crystal Palace (5-0), Manchester United (4-1), and Ipswich Town (3-0). Newcastle are currently third in the Premier League and just five points behind Arsenal, who may shift focus to their Champions League campaign.
One concern is their away form. While Newcastle have thrashed Leicester (3-0) and edged West Ham (1-0) on the road recently, they've only won two of their last five away games, making consistency outside St. James' Park a question mark.
Still, they remain a fast-starting side, having scored first in eight of their last nine matches—a key angle to watch in the betting markets.
BTTS – Yes has landed in each of Brighton’s last five and seven straight for Newcastle.
Over 2.5 Goals has hit in five of Brighton’s last five and seven in a row for Newcastle.
Newcastle to score first looks strong, considering their early dominance in recent matches.
Brighton may have won the previous two meetings this season, but Newcastle are unbeaten in their last six league games and look a different beast right now.
Value Picks:
✅ BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals (Double)
✅ Newcastle to Win & BTTS – decent value with Brighton’s attacking threat but poor defending
✅ Newcastle to Score First – excellent trend angle
✅ Correct Score: 3-1 Newcastle – high-flying form, goal power, and Brighton's defensive leaks
Brighton’s earlier victories over Newcastle count for something, but current momentum is firmly with the Magpies. The Seagulls remain vulnerable at the back, while Newcastle are scoring freely and showing top-four credentials. Expect goals, but also expect Newcastle to finally break their recent run of defeats against Brighton.
Prediction: Brighton 1-3 Newcastle | Best Bet: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals
